Thursday, September 16, 2004

Bush Bounce -Be-Gone

Two National polls released today:

(Bush-Kerry-Nader-Dunno?)

---------------------------B----K---N---?

Pew LV (9/11-14)..........47...46...1...7

Pew LV (9/08-12)..........54...38...1...7

Pew LV (8/05-10)..........45...47...2...6


Harris LV (Mid Sept)......47...48...2...3

Harris LV (Mid Aug).......47...47...3...3


An interesting analysis:
Apparently state-by-state polls tend to lag behind the national polls. It's unclear to me why that is.
For example, During the Post-GOP-convention Bush bounce in national polls (between 4-11%) the individual states added up to a large Kerry win.
Then a week later the state polls started shifting Bush-wards, while the nationals started creeping downwards (toward even).
Now the national polls appear to by shifting back to even. So looking at the state polls today looks bad for Kerry - but if it all follows, the state polls will reflect this next week.

DAMN THESE POLLS!!

You know the only people who need to know these poll results are THE CAMPAIGNS!

All they do for US is give us heartburn.

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